「Gゼロ」提唱者イアン・ブレマーと読み解く、グローバルサウスの正体

When you see the BRICS, and China wants to expand the BRICS, South Africa's like, "well, let's do a Brexit and Africa summit, we'll be in charge of like all the Africa stuff", which is a little bit like the way the Indians think about not wanting to expand the Quad, they like being in a position where they're the ones that get to have influence with The United States and the advanced countries. Then, they get to discuss that with all the other poor countries. It is definitely a first among region's approach in the Global South.

In Brazil, the Lula administration obviously wants to play a role as a leader in the Global South. Harder for Brazil, given where Bolsonaro was compared to where Lula is. That level of transition, which hasn't really played out so far in the other countries we've talked about, because there's been, frankly, either more consistency or it hasn't mattered as much.

India - the consistency, Turkey - the consistency, South Africa hasn't really mattered as much. I think that the Lula administration rejects the idea of having to choose sides, and they're willing to ruffle some feathers in the process, but Lula specifically wants to play his position as hosting the next G20 summit to move forward the idea of having the Global South play a much greater role. They particularly want to show leadership on environmental issues and their role on deforestation on the Amazon, as a wedge. I expect that that's going to get traction this year, which will then be followed by Brazil hosting the COP Summit, so that's how they're going to play.