「Gゼロ」提唱者イアン・ブレマーと読み解く、グローバルサウスの正体

揺れ動く国際秩序のカギを握る存在ながら、まだ明確な定義のない、グローバルサウスとは一体何なのか。パワーバランスの変化により国際秩序が大きく揺れ動くとき、地政学について頼れる解説者となるのが、国際政治学者のイアン・ブレマーだ。リスク分析・予想を得意とする頭脳集団ユーラシア・グループの創設者で、Gゼロ世界（G7の影響力が低下し、真に指導者的な大国が存在しなくなった世界）の概念を提唱した人物だ。そのブレマーに、米ジョージタウン大学教授のサム・ポトリッキオが聞いた。（以下は英文インタビューとなります）

What is Global South?

Speaker: Dr. Ian Bremmer, President of Eurasia Group
Interviewer: Prof. Sam Potolicchio, Founding Executive Director of American Councils For International Education's Center for Global Leadership, Lecturer at Georgetown University

◇　◇　◇

Potolicchio: Dr. Bremmer, it's turning into an annual tradition to consult you as the world gets more uncertain and unstable. Your top risk for 2023 was a "Rogue Russia". The Global South is becoming an increasingly influential player in mediating this conflict. So I ask you, how do you define the term "Global South" and why does it matter how we analyze this concept now?

Bremmer: You go back to the collapse of the Soviet Union and you have this presumption of a couple of things. First, that democracy is going to be the true North of the Globe, and it's just a question of how you get folks integrated. Globalization - same thing, you're creating a global middle class over 50 years, which means that emerging markets, the developing world is becoming developed in the process of emerging, it's a transitional phase.